GB operational wind · transparent by design

Long-term generation estimates for GB wind farms.

This assessment combines recorded generation with long-term wind resource data to estimate how much electricity operational GB wind farms could generate over the long term. Explore the model-based results on a map: select a wind farm, compare sites and discover the data behind each estimate.

Model-based estimates for benchmarking, screening and research. About the results.

Why resource-correct?

A windy year and a quiet year are not the same test.

Raw annual generation reflects both how a wind farm performs and how much wind it had to work with. Long-term resource correction helps put the observed record into context.

01

Learn about wind farms

Explore operational history, resource patterns, assumptions and source evidence for individual sites.

02

Benchmark and compare

Compare available site estimates with a consistent view of generation, resource and recorded losses.

03

Screen opportunities

Build an initial view of potential assets to investigate further, although not a substitute for technical or investment due diligence.

Customise the assumptions

Start with our defaults. Explore your own assumptions.

You can customise the included months, resource dataset and, where hourly data support it, future loss assumptions in each site assessment. Recalculate to see how your choices change the generation estimate. These are working assumptions, not guarantees.

A

Recent history is informative

By default, the latest 36-calendar-month window of eligible generation is used as a guide to the site. Gaps are not filled by reaching further back; you can inspect and change the included months.

B

Future losses resemble historical losses

Where hourly data support it, forward loss defaults are based on the selected historical months. You can override future availability, curtailment and import loss assumptions. Inferred losses do not prove a cause; monthly certificate losses remain embedded and are not separately adjustable.

C

ERA5 represents long-term resource

ERA5 is the default reference; you can choose another available resource dataset for long-term calibration. These are gridded weather data, not site measurements. Check each dataset's coverage and definition; hourly loss modelling continues to use ERA5.

Assessments use the current plant configuration where it can be established, require at least three complete eligible generation months, and remain provisional. Details and source limitations are in About and methodology.

The Calton Works vision

Open analysis. Shared understanding. Better opportunities.

Our vision is for transparent energy-yield assessments built on open-source analysis, open data and open results, so anyone can understand the evidence, explore the assumptions and contribute improvements.

Open-source methods make calculations inspectable and adaptable. Open data lets others trace the evidence, reproduce the analysis and update it as new information becomes available. Open results make it easier to share insights, compare approaches and build on each other's work.

A shared, transparent starting point can help owners, investors, lenders and advisers build confidence and reach a fair, evidence-led agreement on a site's model-based generation estimate. By making assumptions and uncertainties visible, we hope to support smoother collaboration and create more space for practical site improvements and performance opportunities.

This project is a step towards that vision. Openness supports informed judgement; it does not remove uncertainty or replace project-specific assessment. The analysis code is open source and assessment results are available under CC BY 4.0; source datasets retain their own terms but are publicly available.

Open data. Informed decisions.

Take the analysis further with Calton Works.

Calton Works advocates for open data and transparent, reproducible analysis. This project shows what becomes possible when generation and resource data are made available to explore, challenge and learn from.

Contact Charlie at Calton Works if any of these questions sound familiar: